Aviation Industry Development Forecast

According to the British "Flight International" website, the editor predicts 2015 aviation industry memorabilia and development prospects. The details are as follows:

1. airline

2014 is the most profitable year in the history of airlines. With the continued decline in oil prices and strong economic growth momentum, airline revenue will be even more significant in 2015.

The International Air Transport Association predicts that the profitability of all airlines in all regions of the world will increase significantly in 2015 and is expected to record a record of US$25 billion. This benefits from low fuel costs and lower oil prices.

2. Widebody aircraft

Airlines will continue to vote in 2015 against wide-body aircraft strategies introduced by Airbus and Boeing.

The two companies proposed the strategy of using aerodynamics to upgrade existing aircraft three years ago. Due to lack of competitiveness in the market, the two companies competed to launch new upgraded models.

3. Narrow-body aircraft

In 2015, Airbus and Boeing will jointly produce 6,000 737Max and A320neo, and promise to guarantee the quality and performance of each aircraft.

At present, the existing orders are conducive to the impact of the two companies buffering market fluctuations. In addition to the orders for 5,920 upgraded narrow-body aircraft, there are 5,000 orders for A320 and 737NG.

In fact, the main challenge facing the two companies in the next three years is to continue to introduce upgraded models while increasing production by 20%.

4. Regional Aviation

For more than 20 years, the regional aircraft market has been dominated by the Americas. In 2015, Asia will become the main market for regional aircraft.

Japan’s Mitsubishi Regional Aircraft will conduct the first flight test. At the same time, COMAC’s ARJ21 will delay the delivery of its first customer.

At the same time, the long-term market leaders Bombardier and Embraer are also stepping up their efforts to develop sub-branches.

5. Mergers and acquisitions

Due to the severe impact of the 2008 economic crisis, the aerospace industry has faced mergers and acquisitions in the past few years.

In 2012, Pratt & Whitney, Sikorsky, and Hanson’s parent company, United Technologies, acquired Goodrich Corporation for a combined price of 16.5 billion U.S. dollars.

However, in 2014, the situation has changed, and mergers and acquisitions cannot, in any case, empirically touch the aviation industry.

6. Global defense

In 2015, many countries will not only face a military blockade from the United States, Islamic militants will continue to be active in Iraq and Syria, and withdrawal of troops will not be possible in a short time.

Since the annexation of Crimea in 2014, Russia’s influence in the world can not be ignored, but the huge demand for weapons has also made it overwhelmed.

At the same time, various aviation companies are also developing fighter jets to meet the needs of various countries.

7. American Defense

If the Obama administration submitted a bill to the Congress to reduce military budgets in 2015, this would be the most brutal. Lockheed Martin reduced orders at this time to reduce costs, and reducing military budgets would be equivalent to cutting the F-35 fleet's five-year budget.

At a time when American politics is deadlock, no one wants Obama to submit the bill. In 2015, U.S. defense will still make a fuss about the F-35 model.

8. Helicopter

In 2015, helicopter manufacturers will pay close attention to market conditions in the short term. The prosperity of civilian rotorcraft in this century is no longer the case. Another trend is that in 2015 the government will use helicopters to carry out outsourced search and rescue operations.

9. Aviation safety

Although civil aviation accidents are lower than ever, aviation safety still needs further improvement.

In 2014, Malaysia’s two major airlines suffered heavy losses. At the same time, some studies and projects aimed at reducing aviation security threats are expected to be realized in 2015.

10. Space

Space flight in 2015 is still unpredictable, but it is predictable that no one will go to Mars.

NASA has been working overtime and plans to fly Lockheed on December 5th. The Orion capsule developed by Martin is the first step in the journey to Mars, but this goal is difficult to achieve in a short time.

Space challenges are everywhere and radiation protection is one of the most serious problems.

It will take at least 18 months to get a trip to Mars. At present, we can only say that we have a far-sighted vision for solving these problems.

11. Business Aviation

The commercial aviation industry was busy developing new aircraft in 2014. Embraer launched the new Legacy 500.

In 2015, other banks are still recovering, but the industry is ready to do more. A series of new upgraded aircraft is expected to be put into use, becoming a milestone event for the industry. Including Airbus A320neo series aircraft, Gulfstream's G650ER, French Dassault Falcon 8X, Bombardier's Challenger 605, Pilatus aircraft manufacturing company's PC-24, Honda Aircraft Company's Honda business jet, Cirrus Aircraft company's SF50 and Saibo's SJ30i.